Prediction Markets • Economics • Finance
In a world of noise, price is the sharpest signal. The rise of prediction markets.
Prediction markets are replacing pundits and polling as the most reliable signal of truth in a noisy ecosystem.
71 insights on this topic
Prediction Markets • Economics • Finance
Prediction markets are replacing pundits and polling as the most reliable signal of truth in a noisy ecosystem.
Davos • Exponential Age • Energy
Azeem Azhar's post-Davos frame is essential reading. As energy becomes buildable and intelligence commoditised, our 'civilisational operating system' is being rewritten.
Energy • AI • Sustainability
Solar generated more electricity than coal on the Texas grid for the first time. Why does this matter for AI? Because AI turns electricity into strategy.
Markets • Economics • Innovation
Prediction markets are surging to $13-15 billion in 2025. This feels less like gambling and more like the financialisation of truth.
Davos2026 • WEF • Geopolitics
Davos 2026 convenes as unilateral power outpaces multilateral institutions. The software of globalism is no longer compatible with the hardware of national politics.
Future Of Work • AI • Artificial Intelligence
Graduate recruitment is shifting from closed-book horsepower to AI literacy and judgement.
Health • Retail • FMCG
GLP-1 medicines are a healthcare story. But they are also a demand story for retail and FMCG.
Future Of Work • AI • Artificial Intelligence
Stack Overflow is becoming an archaeological layer. Public Q&A is thinning. Private synthesis is thickening.
AI • Consulting • Technology
The headline is $1bn. The signal is a job title.
AI • Technology • Innovation
For three years, AI got smarter by reading more.
Exponential Age • AI • Software Engineering
What if your next engineering hire doesn't need a desk, salary or manager?
Venture Capital • AI • Startups
The gatekeepers of capital used to block out two hours for a preliminary analysis of a pitch. Now they do it in 13 seconds.
Future Of Work • Exponential Age • AI
We tell pollsters we do not trust AI. We tell our browsers something very different.
Exponential Age • Geopolitics • Critical Minerals
There is an invisible war for the periodic table.
Infrastructure • AI • Data Centers
The cloud has a postcode. And right now, it looks a lot like Indiana farmland...
AI • Technology • Exponential Age
This tweet was the Big Bang of the modern #AI era.
Sustainability • Innovation • Economics
Diplomacy is linear. Technology is exponential.
AI • Innovation • Management
A $6.2 billion seed round. For a company that hasn't launched a product.
Exponential Age • AI • Innovation
We just watched an AI turn a simulated $500 into a $5,478 business empire.
AI • Language • Digital Divide
AI spoke English. Billions didn't. Now that barrier may just have fallen
Cyber Security • AI • Geopolitics
Chinese state-backed hackers used an AI to run a cyber-espionage campaign at machine speed.
Cyber Security • UKEconomy • Manufacturing
Cybercriminals just moved UK GDP.
AI • Science • R
What took a lab six months now takes a machine 12 hours. Not assisted research- autonomous discovery.
Space • Semiconductors • Manufacturing
When Earth-based supply chains become too vulnerable, build off-world.
AI • Geopolitics • China
China just made its move for global AI governance.
Climate Change • Economics • Disaster Recovery
America’s new growth engine runs on disaster.
AI • Regulation • Policy
The UK is trialling a new idea: freeports for algorithms.
AI • Future Of Work • Skills
AI is making some workers more valuable, not obsolete (for now).
Robotics • Manufacturing • AI
Robots that programme themselves. Not in a lab. In a 100,000 square-foot factory that opened yesterday in California.
AI • Science • Research
The exponential age doesn't just accelerate science. It privatises how science gets done.
AI • Cybersecurity • AISafety
A handful of poisoned training documents can backdoor the world's largest AI models. Researchers just proved it.
Geopolitics • Supply Chains • Rare Earths
It looks like China is about to weaponise geology.
Quantum Computing • Science • Innovation
Harvard University just ran a quantum computer for two hours straight.
AI • Innovation • Robotics
Figure AI's humanoid robots have been working BMW Group's production line for five months straight. Ten hours a day. Every single day of production.
Exponential Age • AI • Cloud
This is what $1 trillion in AI infrastructure looks like.
AI • Robotics • Innovation
China is switching off the lights. Not to save energy- because humans no longer work there.
AI • Innovation • UK
🇬🇧 Some Saturday viewing to remind us why the world's tech titans still bet on this sceptred isle. 🇬🇧
Exponential Age • AI • Technology
OpenAI is reportedly planning an energy expansion on the scale of a nation.
Algorithmic Bias • Attention Economy • Media
The centre cannot hold"- Yeats, 1919 The centre doesn't exist" - Social media, 2025
AI • Exponential Age • Technology
We built #AI to be confident. Turns out confidence and accuracy parted ways.
AI • Technology • HRTech
The new meta: not what you know, or who you know, but which #AI knows which AI.
Machine Learning • AI • Exponential Age
The robots arrive, and human drivers take a 6.9% pay cut.
Exponential Age • Technology • Innovation
Just back from the Balkans - a few signals that our innovation map is upside down:
AI • Blockchain • Technology
When AI speaks your language, you control the conversation. Bulgaria gets it.
Exponential Age • Technology • AI
Code scales without limit. But trust doesn’t - it needs eye contact and a handshake. Business is still human to human.
Technology • Starlink • Exponential Age
They used to leave. Now they log in. The future of work from Europe’s youngest country.
AI • Exponential Age • Technology
The old order- poured in concrete. The new one - written in code.
Exponential Age • Technology • Innovation
Four capitals in four nights.
AI • HRTech • Future Of Work
Would you choose a cordial but unyielding algorithm or a human handshake for your next job interview?
AI • Technology • Digital Transformation
Shadow AI: The Invisible Workforce
AI • Technology • Strategy
Most AI gives you answers. The interesting work happens when you push for consequences.
AI • LLM • Technology
Fascinating development: leaked #AI System Instructions from major players are circulating on GitHub.
AI • Agentic • Technology
Been testing #AI browsers this week: got early access to Perplexity's Comet and also testing Dia from The Browser Company.
AI • Technology • Io T
The quantified life is coming for every living thing.
AI • Technology • Innovation
Twice as many Chinese citizens trust #AI as Americans do.
Attention Economy • Digital Transformation • Technology
A single video format now owns 1% of human consciousness.
AI • Blockchain • Cybersecurity
It's part media, part fintech, part regtech - and completely reimagining itself through technology.
Innovation • AI • Digital Transformation
It looks like we're on the verge of flipping software *inside out*.
Energy • Shipping • Geopolitics
The Strait of Hormuz: where 20% of global oil meets geopolitical uncertainty.
Innovation • Bio Tech • Agri Tech
The exponential age isn't always about silicon and code.
Strategy • Foresight • Exponential Age
Kodak was perfectly aligned... to film.
4 • Megatrends • Economics
With tariffs and rare earth materials now a running news story, signals of a new economic order emerge beneath the surface.
3 • 1 • 2
From the first wheel to the latest microchip, technology has always been the great disruptor.
Middle East • Geopolitics • Security
Syria’s shifting sands just delivered a masterclass in unintended consequences.
1 • Megatrends • Foresight
Most people see the strain on our planet’s resources—but have you stopped to consider just how much hotter and more unpredictable life could become
Megatrends • Foresight • Strategy
The push and pull of age and youth are remaking the world as we know it.
Megatrends • Transformation • Innovation
Not just evolutionary, but revolutionary.
Megatrends • Foresight • Strategy
What happens when megatrends collide?
Strategy • Technology • Fin Tech
🚀 The Baltic capital making a play to become Europe’s fintech hub